Chrysler jabs Tesla over loan repayment

sergio marchionne elon musk

Sergio Marchionne, left, the CEO of Chrysler Group and Fiat, isn’t happy by the claim of Tesla CEO Elon Musk that Tesla is the first automaker to repay all of its loans.

Chrysler Group and Tesla Motors, run by two of the most outspoken CEOs in the auto industry, are trading zingers over the help each company received from the federal government.

On Wednesday, Tesla (TSLA) paid back its $465 million low-interest U.S. Department of Energy loan almost 10 years ahead of schedule. And in announcing the news, the automaker took a shot at Chrysler and General Motors (GM, Fortune 500), which both received federal bailouts in 2009 as part of their bankruptcy reorganizations.

inside tesla model s

“Following this payment, Tesla will be the only American car company to have fully repaid the government,” said Elon Musk, the chief executive of Tesla.

Chrysler, headed by legendary Fiat chief Sergio Marchionne, wasn’t too happy with that statement. It quickly issued one of its own, pointing out that Chrysler had in fact paid its loan — early.

“The information is unmistakably incorrect. It’s pretty well-known that … Chrysler Group LLC repaid (in full and with interest) U.S. and Canadian government loans more than six years ahead of schedule.”

Chrysler went on to take a veiled shot at the electric vehicles, ending the statement with — “Question: short memory or short-circuit?”

But Chrysler’s statement told only part of the story.

It’s true that Chrysler repaid a $5.9 billion government loan it got as part of a larger U.S. bailout of the company.

Chrysler had a good reason to pay it back: The company was paying 7% to 14% interest on the loan. Marchionne once complained of “shyster” interest rates, a comment he later apologized for.

But Chrysler did not repay all of the rest of the $12.4 billion bailout it received. Instead, Treasury received stock in Chrysler. And when Treasury finally sold those shares back to Chrysler in 2011, it did so at a loss of about $1.3 billion.

The government is also likely to lose money on its bailout of General Motors when it is done selling its shares, although like Chrysler it has repaid the loan portion of its bailout.

Asked for comment on Chrysler’s statement, Musk tweeted Thursday that he had specified it was the first U.S. car company to repay the government, and that Chrysler is a unit of Italian automaker Fiat.

But Musk’s response is wrong. Fiat and Chrysler are still separate corporations and when it repaid the loan Fiat was not even the majority owner of Chrysler. And GM has always been a U.S. automaker.

He did not make the more effective argument that the loan repayment did not in fact repay taxpayers the whole cost of those bailouts.

Related: Tesla’s war with America’s car dealers

Marchionne is rarely one to sit quietly. He often takes public shots other auto executives are reluctant to make, such as at the president of the United Auto Workers union or the terms of the bailout his company received. Marchionne has even directed barbs at his own products, once calling one Chrysler vehicle “an abomination.” He’s also had a long-running war of words with Volkswagen executives, calling them
“reprehensible” for trying to have him removed from leadership of a European auto industry trade group.

Musk has taken on his own share of auto industry sacred cows. Foremost, Tesla is the only publicly-traded automaker building only electric cars. He’s also challenged the industry’s powerful dealership structure, selling his cars through company-owned stores.

But Musk has won fans in the sector, including analysts who keep raising target prices for Tesla’s stock and influential Consumer Reports, which said the Model S is the best car it’s ever tested.

Related: Tesla’s windfall from rival automakers

For the record, the Energy Department loan to Tesla was unrelated to the bailouts of GM and Chrysler. It was a program created during the Bush administration before the financial crisis that pushed the auto industry to the brink of collapse. It is designed to encourage the development of green energy, such as alternative fuel cars and solar power. Tesla paid between 1% to 3% interest on the funds it received.

The Energy program has suffered more high-profile failures than successes, including the bankruptcy of solar panel maker Solyndra, which borrowed $527 million from the program. Another upstart electric automaker, Fisker, received $192 million. But Fisker has essentially halted all operations and missed its first scheduled payment and is likely to default on the loan. To top of page

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Posted by AdBanks.net - May 23, 2013 at 4:40 pm

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U.K. on terror alert after hacking death

  • Latest developments on the attack
  • Suspect caught on video  Suspect caught on video | Photos

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Posted by AdBanks.net - May 23, 2013 at 4:40 pm

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Wall Street tries to buck sell-off

Dow 1130 am

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U.S. stocks bucked a global market rout Thursday, as investors try to decipher the latest signals from the Federal Reserve.

The Dow Jones industrial average was down about 12 points, or 0.1%, in late-morning trading. The index had been down more than 100 points earlier.

The biggest standout was Dow component Hewlett-Packard (HPQ, Fortune 500). Shares of the PC maker rallied 14%, a day after the company’s earnings beat estimates and CEO Meg Whitman said she was “encouraged” by the turnaround plan.

The SP 500 slid 0.5% and the Nasdaq lost 0.6%. But Wall Street’s losses were modest compared with overseas markets.

Japan’s Nikkei plunged 7.3%, while stocks in Hong Kong and Shanghai also fell sharply. European markets ended about 2% lower.

China weakness vs. Fed fallout: Some investors blamed the weakness in Asian stocks on a report that showed manufacturing activity in China slowed in May for the first time in seven months, raising concerns about growth in the world’s second biggest economy.

But others argued that the selling was a continuation of losses sustained Wednesday afternoon after minutes from the Fed’s latest policy meeting showed some officials were willing to start winding down the central bank’s bond buying program as soon as June.

“The red today is all fallout from the Fed yesterday,” said Phil Orlando, chief equity market strategist with Federated Investors.

Bernanke told lawmakers early Wednesday that withdrawing the Fed’s stimulus measures prematurely could derail the economic recovery, though he hinted that the central bank could slow the pace of its bond buying later this year if the economy improves.

Investors then seized on the Fed’s meeting minutes.

“Everyone’s concerned the Fed starts to taper in June,” said Orlando. “We think there’s zero chance that happens.”

The Fed’s stimulus policies have been a big driver of the bull market over the past few years. But with the major indexes up more than 15% so far this year, some investors have called for a pullback.

“I think the market is looking for excuse to take some profits,” said Orlando. “The bears who missed out on the way up will take this opportunity to put money back to work.”

Economic bright spots: The Department of Labor reported that initial claims for unemployment benefits fell to 340,000 last week, down from 363,000 the week before.

Separately, new home sales rose 2.3% in April compared with the month prior, according to government data.

Eye on retail: Shares of Ralph Lauren (RL, Fortune 500) slumped after the retailer failed to meet lowered revenue forecasts, even as earnings jumped 35%.

Meanwhile, discount retailer Dollar Tree (DLTR, Fortune 500) reported better than expected earnings, sending shares up nearly 5%.

Gap (GPS, Fortune 500) and Sears Holdings (SHLD, Fortune 500) are up after the bell.

Related: Fear Greed Index continues to wallow in extreme greed

Shares of Tesla (TSLA) nudged higher, a day after the electric car maker announced that it had repaid a $465 million loan from the government nearly a decade before it was scheduled to do so. To top of page

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Posted by AdBanks.net - May 23, 2013 at 4:40 pm

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Gunman Kills Four in a Bank in Southern Israel

An unemployed former security guard shot and killed four people in a bank in the southern Israeli city of Beersheba on Monday hours after the bank had refused his request for financial assistance, the police said. The gunman committed suicide after holing up in the bathroom of the bank with a female hostage for about an hour. The hostage escaped unharmed. The gunman, who lived nearby, had visited the bank in the morning and, according to the Israeli news media, found that his account had been blocked because of a debt. He returned later and killed the bank manager, his deputy and two clients. Random shootings of this kind are rare in Israel. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu described the event as “a terrible tragedy,” adding, “I cannot remember such an incident, certainly not in recent years.”

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Posted by AdBanks.net - May 23, 2013 at 4:40 pm

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Strong Lobbying Helps Dimon Thwart a Shareholder Challenge

A proposal to separate the jobs of chairman and chief executive of Chase became a referendum on Jamie Dimon.Haraz N. Ghanbari/Associated PressA proposal to separate the jobs of chairman and chief executive of Chase became a referendum on Jamie Dimon.

8:18 p.m. | Updated

Jamie Dimon and the 10 other directors of JPMorgan Chase had reason to be confident before they took private jets to Tampa on Monday, the eve of the bank’s annual meeting. Early indications were that a shareholder vote to split Mr. Dimon’s jobs as chairman and chief executive was heading to a resounding defeat.

There was just one problem: One director was not going to Florida.

Ellen V. Futter, a longtime member of the board’s risk policy committee who had come under fire over her lack of a background in finance, had decided at the last minute not to attend the meeting.

Ms. Futter, the president of the American Museum of Natural History, was sick of the swirl of negative attention surrounding her, worried that it needlessly detracted from JPMorgan’s strengths and that it might hurt the reputation of the museum, people briefed on the matter said. She wanted off the board.

A resignation by a bank director would have distracted from what was shaping up to be a victory parade for Mr. Dimon. The charismatic chief executive called her on Monday to try to convince her to stay, although he acknowledged that it was a personal decision, the people briefed on the matter said. That discussion was followed by calls from at least two other directors, the people said. They urged Ms. Futter to remain on the board, adding that her resignation would drag her back into the spotlight.

In the end, Ms. Futter, who narrowly eked out re-election, changed her mind.

JPMorgan’s Trading Loss

Mr. Dimon’s art of persuasion was also in evidence on Tuesday as nearly 70 percent of the shares were voted to reject decisively a proposal for an independent chairman.

The shareholder vote had shaped up to be a rare challenge to Mr. Dimon, who was widely praised for piloting the bank through the turmoil of the financial crisis. Since the crisis, three years of consecutive quarterly profits at JPMorgan have added to his laurels.

Yet a surprising multibillion-dollar trading loss last year — one that has helped drive top lieutenants from the bank and produced a range of investigations — has raised questions about the chief executive’s leadership.

The shareholder resolution, while intended to improve corporate governance by having an independent chairman as a counterweight to a chief executive, became a referendum on Mr. Dimon himself. It was a test he easily passed.

“To some extent this was a referendum on Jamie Dimon, and he is quite unique and special and no one can deny that,” said Marvin Schwartz, a portfolio manager at Neuberger Berman, which controls roughly 12 million shares and voted against the resolution. “To hold against him one unfortunate loss in the trading area, I think, is quite unfair.”

Even though some 40 percent of the shares last year had supported a similar proposal to split the top two jobs at the bank, this year’s resolution was supported by only 32.2 percent of the shares. The divide in the vote was apparent, with institutional investors like Neuberger Berman voting overwhelmingly against the proposal and pension funds voting for it, according to people briefed on the matter.

In an e-mail to employees after the annual meeting, Mr. Dimon wrote: “I love coming to work here every day — and hope to be doing it for years to come.”

Stockholders arrived for the JPMorgan Chase annual meeting on Tuesday in Tampa, Fla.Chris O’Meara/Associated PressStockholders arrived for the JPMorgan Chase annual meeting on Tuesday in Tampa, Fla.

Shares of JPMorgan rose as much as 2.6 percent on Tuesday, before closing up 1.4 percent, at $53.02.

The hearty endorsement of the chief executive — which was announced on his 30th wedding anniversary — came after months of behind-the-scenes lobbying by the bank.

At its Park Avenue headquarters, JPMorgan assembled a war room where executives kept close tallies as shareholder votes began streaming in, according to two people briefed on the matter. To sway investors, these people said, influential board members were paired with large shareholders.

Part of the message was to remind shareholders that the directors were already a powerful check on Mr. Dimon, noting that board had earlier moved to root out problems in the aftermath of the losses and to claw back $100 million from the traders at the center of the outsized wagers.

The bank held conference calls with several big investors, including Neuberger Berman. Mr. Schwartz said that during that call, which lasted roughly 40 minutes, Neuberger portfolio managers had a “frank give and take” with JPMorgan executives.

Still, roughly two weeks before the shareholder meeting, the proposal sponsors were winning, according to people briefed on the tallies. The vote was going against Mr. Dimon.

On May 6, Lee R. Raymond, the lead director of the bank’s board, and William C. Weldon, the chairman of the board’s corporate governance and nominating committee, met with officials from the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees, one of the main backers of the proposal to divide the roles.

A close ally of Mr. Dimon even tried to enlist former President Bill Clinton to help broker a compromise with Afscme, according to two people with knowledge of the discussion. Mr. Clinton declined.

“I think that given the resources that the management and the board threw at this, it’s not a surprise that the vote was lower than last year,” said Lisa Lindsley, the director of capital strategies at Afscme.

The bank pulled other levers as well, some shareholders said.

“First we hear Jamie might leave if things go against him and then people start talking about the damage to the stock price,” said one major shareholder, who asked not to be named because of a company policy against speaking to the media. “It was effective.”

People close to the bank say a turning point in the campaign came from an unexpected source, an influential shareholder advisory firm, Institutional Shareholder Services, which urged shareholders earlier this month to withhold their votes from three directors on the board’s policy committee.

In a scathing 33-page report, the firm faulted three directors, saying they lacked risk expertise. By zeroing in on the board members, several people close to the bank said, the advisory firm effectively gave shareholders an alternative. They could register their dissatisfaction with JPMorgan without going after Mr. Dimon, the people said.

Indeed, the preliminary vote totals for the three directors were effectively rebukes. Ms. Futter received just 53 percent of the voting shares, while the two other directors on the committee did only a little better: James S. Crown received about 57 percent of the vote; and David M. Cote received 59 percent. (In comparison, Mr. Dimon received 98 percent of the vote for his board seat, while Mr. Raymond, the lead director, received 95 percent.)

As a result of this sign of disapproval from shareholders, it is almost certain the board will make some changes. On Tuesday, Mr. Raymond told shareholders to “stay tuned” when he was asked if the board is planning to make changes to the risk committee. It is likely Ms. Futter will come off the risk committee, and the board may replace her or others with directors that have more knowledge of financial risk.

“The vote proved to be a referendum on the board’s oversight of risk rather than over whether to split the chairman/C.E.O. job,” said Michael Garland, an assistant comptroller who heads corporate governance for the New York City comptroller, John Liu, which co-sponsored the bill. “I don’t think this is a setback because it put a spotlight on the issue and the clock is now ticking on director reform.”

A version of this article appeared in print on 05/22/2013, on page B1 of the NewYork edition with the headline: Strong Lobbying Helps Dimon Thwart a Shareholder Challenge.

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Posted by AdBanks.net - May 23, 2013 at 4:40 pm

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Live Blog: Dimon Wins Crucial Vote at JPMorgan

Proposal No. 6 is up. It was presented by the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees, a big trade union. It is the long-awaited vote on whether JPMorgan should cleave the roles of chief executive and chairman.

“This proposal was never intended as a referendum on Mr. Dimon,” Lisa Lindsley of A.F.S.C.M.E. says. She goes on to say that “good governance is not a personality contest.” Ms. Lindsley says the chairman and chief executive roles are two different jobs.

She also says that in terms of succession planning, splitting the two roles allows the bank to move so that no one person is too valuable to replace. Ms. Lindsley goes through a litany of problems that have caused her grave concern. It is more than the so-called London whale, she says. She points out problems with how the company collects its debts, how it treats service members. She also says JPMorgan is in a swirl of regulatory issues, including claims of manipulating the London interbank offered rate, or Libor, and that managing the bank would stretch the capacity of even the most talented chief executive.

Michael Garland, an assistant comptroller who heads corporate governance for the New York City comptroller, John Liu, says that while JPMorgan exceeds its peers in size and profit, it also exceeds its peers in regulatory problems. Mr. Garland says JPMorgan’s problems with regulators have hurt shareholders. While naming an independent chairman is not a silver bullet, Mr. Garland says, it should help.

It’s standing room only here now. The more than 300 seats in the meeting room are taken and dozens of JPMorgan shareholders, employees and press are standing at the back.

Jessica Silver-Greenberg, Susanne Craig and Peter Eavis

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Posted by AdBanks.net - May 23, 2013 at 4:40 pm

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GLOBAL MARKETS-World shares slump on U.S. stimulus, growth fears


Thu May 23, 2013 10:03am EDT

* Signs Fed could taper bond-buying soon trigger share
selloff

* Weak Chinese factory, euro zone sentiment data add to
concerns

* Nikkei drops 7.3 pct, Wall Street opens lower

* Yen gains over 2 pct against dollar and euro

By Richard Hubbard

LONDON, May 22 (Reuters) – World stocks fell and measures of
investor risk aversion surged on Thursday on signs the U.S.
central bank may soon start scaling back the support measures
that have been driving global assets higher.

Unexpected weakness in China’s economy further fuelled the
sell-off, which sent Japanese shares diving to their biggest
one-day fall in two years, while data suggesting the euro zone
economy shrank again in the second quarter also hit confidence.

“This is a critical period now for the markets. Investors
have to adjust for the fact that the Fed’s quantitative easing
is not going to support the equity markets for an unlimited
period,” said Nick Beecroft, senior market analyst at Saxo
Capital Markets.

MSCI’s world equity index lost 1.7 percent
on Wednesday, over one-tenth of this year’s gain and on course
for its biggest daily fall of the year.

Stocks have soared as a wall of central bank money has
coursed around the global financial system seeking returns. The
prospect of the world’s most important central bank slowly
turning the taps off could mark a profound turning point,
although its officials have been at pains to stress that no
action is likely for months yet.

Shares began to reel late on Wednesday after Federal Reserve
chief Ben Bernanke told Congress that if economic improvement
continued, the Fed “could in the next few meetings take a step
down in our pace of purchases”.

The selloff extended to Wall Street, which opened broadly
lower for a second day after Japan’s main Nikkei share index
slumped 7.3 percent and European shares slid
from a nearly five-year high hit on Wednesday.

The Euro STOXX 50 Volatility Index, Europe’s widely
used measure of investor risk aversion, surged 18 percent to a
three-week high. The CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX,
meanwhile jumped 8 percent in early New York trade indicating
growing anxiety about the outlook for stocks.

The twin fears about global growth and the steady withdrawal
of U.S. stimulus sent oil prices lower, and hit copper
and other industrial metals.

Concern the Fed will wind down its stimulus initially took
its toll on bonds, but the scale of investors’ sales of equities
saw money flow into the safest government debt, driving yields
on U.S. Treasuries and German Bunds down from their highs.

Demand for riskier euro zone debt softened although bonds
remained underpinned by expectations the European Central Bank
may yet ease monetary policy further. That would contrast with
any tightening by the Fed but follow a massive stimulus package
launched by the Bank of Japan.

“Whilst a slowing of QE is possible in a few months we can’t
help (but) think that the Fed could be forced to restart its QE
in a beggar-thy-neighbour environment where central banks in
most parts of the developed world are still largely on an easing
bias in order to steal a share of the global GDP,” Jim Reid,
strategist at Deutsche Bank said in a research note.

“We think QE or derivations thereof will be around for many
years to come.”

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Posted by AdBanks.net - May 23, 2013 at 4:40 pm

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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks fall on China growth woes, Fed concerns


Thu May 23, 2013 11:37am EDT

* Weak Chinese factory, euro zone sentiment data hit global
stock markets

* Bernanke’s comments on reducing bond-buying weigh on
markets

* Nikkei drops 7 pct, Wall Street down for second day

* Yen gains more than 2 pct vs dollar and euro

By Ryan Vlastelica

NEW YORK, May 23 (Reuters) – Stock markets worldwide fell
sharply on Thursday as surprisingly weak data from China and
Europe raised worries about slow growth a day after U.S. Federal
Reserve chief Ben Bernanke broached the possibility of reducing
stimulus that has buoyed investor confidence.

Japanese shares were hit hardest in overnight action, with
the Nikkei losing 7.3 percent, its biggest one-day fall
in two years. Investors retreated to safe-haven currencies.

At the session peak, the yen rose more than 2 percent
against the dollar and the euro, which both lost 1 percent
against the Swiss franc , also seen as a safe
haven.

U.S. stocks were lower, but off the day’s worst levels, with
the SP 500 down 0.35 percent.

Chinese factory activity shrank for the first time in seven
months, adding to concerns that the world’s second-biggest
economy had stalled. European factory sentiment dropped,
suggested that the euro zone’s economy was likely to contract
again in the second quarter.

“Even though we were overdue for a correction, the Chinese
data certainly didn’t help things. If it proves to be part of a
trend, that’s very concerning for the global economy,” said Eric
Green, senior portfolio manager at Penn Capital Management in
Philadelphia, which oversees $7 billion.

The data gave investors a reason to extend Wednesday’s
sell-off, sparked after testimony from Bernanke that cast
uncertainty over when the Fed would begin to reduced stimulus.

European shares were down 1.9 percent, and MSCI’s
world equity index lost 1.3 percent, though both
indices were off their lows.

Fed officials have started to talk more openly about pulling
back on stimulus that has held U.S. Treasury yields near record
lows, creating a favorable environment that has produced sharp
rallies in stocks and high-yield corporate bonds.

Bernanke said that if economic improvement continued, the
Fed “could in the next few meetings take a step down in our pace
of purchases,” although Fed officials have been at pains to
stress that no action is likely for months.

The program is seen as a major contributor to the massive
equity gains that have taken indexes to record highs this year,
and many analysts worry that the U.S. economy is not strong
enough to continue outperforming without it.

“This is a critical period now for the markets. Investors
have to adjust for the fact that the Fed’s quantitative easing
is not going to support the equity markets for an unlimited
period,” said Nick Beecroft, senior market analyst at Saxo
Capital Markets.

U.S. light crude oil, which is closely tied to the
pace of economic growth, fell 1.4 percent. The U.S. dollar index
fell 0.6 percent.

The Dow Jones industrial average was down 8.68
points, or 0.06 percent, at 15,298.49. The Standard Poor’s 500
Index was down 5.62 points, or 0.34 percent, at 1,649.73.
The Nasdaq Composite Index was down 6.53 points, or 0.19
percent, at 3,456.77.

The Euro STOXX 50 Volatility Index, Europe’s widely
used measure of investor risk aversion, surged nearly 15 percent
to a three-week high. The CBOE Volatility Index rose 3
percent.

Concern the Fed will wind down its stimulus initially took
its toll on bonds, but investors’ sales of equities caused money
to flow into safer government debt, leaving yields on U.S.
Treasuries and German Bunds down from their highs. The benchmark
10-year U.S. Treasury note was down 1.32 in price,
the yield at 2.0386 percent.

Investors expect the bond market will have to adjust to
changing Fed policy, and that suggests higher yields in the
coming months.

Demand for riskier euro zone debt softened, although bonds
remained underpinned by expectations the European Central Bank
may yet ease monetary policy further. That would contrast with
any tightening by the Fed but follow a massive stimulus package
launched by the Bank of Japan.

“Whilst a slowing of QE is possible in a few months we can’t
help (but) think that the Fed could be forced to restart its QE
in a beggar-thy-neighbor environment where central banks in most
parts of the developed world are still largely on an easing bias
in order to steal a share of the global GDP,” Jim Reid,
strategist at Deutsche Bank said in a research note.

“We think QE or derivations thereof will be around for many
years to come.”

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Posted by AdBanks.net - May 23, 2013 at 4:40 pm

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FOREX-Yen rallies sharply against dollar, euro after China data


Thu May 23, 2013 11:48am EDT

* Yen rises versus dollar, euro as Nikkei tumbles

* Worries that Fed may taper QE, weak China PMI hit stocks

* Euro helped somewhat by PMI data, still vulnerable

* Aussie hit hard by weak China data, falling commodity
prices

NEW YORK, May 23 (Reuters) – The yen broke recent trends and
jumped against the dollar and the euro on Thursday after a slide
in stocks sparked by a drop in Chinese factory activity prompted
a rush for the safe-haven Japanese currency.

China’s factory activity shrank for the first time in seven
months in May as new orders fell, a preliminary manufacturing
survey showed, deepening fears that its economic recovery has
stalled and a sharper cooldown may be imminent. [ID:nL3N0E40OA}.

Concerns that U.S. monetary stimulus could be scaled back,
after testimony on Wednesday by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben
Bernanke, added to investors’ caution and drove Japan’s Nikkei
share index down 7.3 percent, its biggest one-day drop
since the period two years ago in the wake of the tsunami that
disrupted the Japanese economy in March 2011.

“What we saw was a massive selloff in Japanese equities and
a pullback in risk with the yen being the biggest beneficiary,”
said Omer Esiner, chief market analyst at Commonwealth Foreign
Exchange in Washington, D.C., but “a lot of the drivers are
still in place, and we are likely to see the dollar push higher
and the yen push lower.”

At the session peak, the yen rose more than 2 percent
against the dollar and the euro. Both the greenback and the euro
lost 1 percent against the Swiss franc , also
seen as a safe haven.

The yen hit a two-week high of 100.82 to the dollar,
reversing a slide to a 4-1/2-year low of 103.73 yen on Wednesday
after Bernanke told Congress the Fed could “in the next few
meetings take a step down” in its bond buying.

The dollar was last at 101.63 yen, down 1.5 percent for the
day, with the session’s swing between the low of 100.82 yen and
the peak of 103.56 yen. Some US$6.891 billion in yen changed
hands on Thursday on Reuters Dealing, the highest daily volume
since at least September.

With the dollar up about 17.2 percent against the yen this
year, analysts said the Chinese data and the drop in stocks
provided the excuse for a profit-taking correction.

“The market got overextended in terms of bullishness on
dollar/yen yesterday after the Bernanke comments. We now have
seen a correction and some uncertainty in the JGB (Japanese
government bond) markets,” said Jeremy Stretch, head of currency
strategy at CIBC World Markets in London.

“The market was somewhat overbought and this prompted a
fairly aggressive reaction (in dollar/yen) which was overlayed
by a pretty seismic move in equities as well.”

Analysts said the dollar could drop further against the yen
if stocks continued to decline. But they expected the trend of
yen weakness and dollar strength to remain given aggressive
easing in Japan and the prospect of tighter U.S. policy.

“The correction (in dollar/yen) has the potential to go
further … But there is no risk of a dramatic fall and any move
below 100 should be brief,” said Niels Christensen, currency
strategist at Nordea in Copenhagen.

Some traders focused on Bernanke’s caveats that the central
bank would need to see more improvements in the economy before
reducing stimulus, even though the minutes from the Fed’s most
recent meeting showed some policymakers were willing to cut bond
buying as early as June.

James Bullard, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St.
Louis, said on Thursday that he did not think the Fed was “that
close” to starting the process of winding down its support
although it was the likely next step if the economy continued to
improve and inflation picks up.

The euro slid to a two-week low of 129.94 yen,
having touched a 3 1/2-year peak of 133.77 yen on Wednesday. It
was last at 131.26 yen, down 1 percent.

Against the dollar, the single currency was up 0.5
percent at $1.2915. The euro got a modest lift from data showing
the downturn across euro-zone businesses eased slightly this
month.

But the numbers in the euro-zone PMI business survey pointed
to another contraction in the euro zone in the second quarter.
Analysts expected the euro to stay weak against the dollar,
given concerns that the Fed will taper its asset-purchase
program while the European Central Bank could ease monetary
policy further.

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Posted by AdBanks.net - May 23, 2013 at 4:40 pm

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UK GDP: Current and Historical Data

Current UK GDP Growth Rate: 0.3%

Next Release: Thursday, May 23rd, 08:30 GMT (Released Quarterly)

Economists Expect: 0.3%

Release URL: http://www.statistics.gov.uk/cci/nugget.asp?id=192

Upcoming Release Commentary

The UK economy grew by 0.3 percent in the first three months of 2013. The growth meant that the UK economy managed to avoid a triple-dip recession. Recent surveys of the construction, manufacturing and services sectors are beginning to suggest that the economic recovery is picking up steam. As further evidence of the improving picture, the Bank of England recently put on hold its £375 billion monetary stimulus programme. All eyes will be focused on the UK services sector, which accounts for more than three-quarters of the economy. Construction had started growing again in the fourth quarter of 2012 after five consecutive quarters of falls. But what needs to be kept in mind is that construction figures are notoriously volatile and are prone to revisions.

uk gdp

 Market Impact Scenarios

GDP data has the tendency to move markets upon release. Robust GDP figures are generally bullish for a given currency, while negative figures are bearish. A better than expected UK GDP reading will indicate higher economic activity, and therefore a high demand for the British Pound. Economic growth also raises inflationary concerns, which generally leads to an increase in interest rates. Higher interest rates make holding the British Pound more attractive to foreign investors, increasing the demand for the currency.

GBP/USD vs. U.K. GDP (QoQ)

uk gdp2

UK GDP Definition

  • Gross domestic product is a measure of a country’s economic activity, and is the total market value of all goods and services produced in the country during a given period minus the cost of goods and services used up in the process of production. Gross Domestic Product is calculated as:

          GDP = C + I + G + (EX – IM)
where
C = private consumption
I = private investment
G = government expenditure
EX = exports of goods and services
IM = imports of goods and services

  • An economy is generally considered to be in recession if it has two consecutive quarters of contraction.

  • The headline UK GDP figure is an annualised percentage growth rate.

 

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